(Not) Lost in Foresight
From the perspective of policymakers, planning for the many uncertainties that the future brings is a complicated task.
From the perspective of policymakers, planning for the many uncertainties that the future brings is a complicated task.
Every four years, US intelligence community analysts try to predict what is going to happen in the next 20 years.
After Brexit and the significant growth of Eurosceptic and populist influence in Europe, the future of the European Union seems to be no longer questioned.
With the new global rules of 2017, while the world is turning right at the biggest moment in world history, what role should Thailand play?
As geostrategic paradigm shifts and non-traditional political rearrangements continue to unfold all throughout the world, the US will press forward with its campaign of waging Hybrid Wars on China’s One Belt One Road (New Silk Road) projects, while Trump’s Presidency is the ultimate unknown variable which could shape the international situation in completely unpredictable ways.
The Clintonian Counter-Revolution against Trump will continue, albeit in different forms of varying and uncertain intensity, though one thing is for sure and it’s that there will be “deep state” tension between and within the US’ permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies.
Will there be an election? What is the new government going to look like? Where does Thailand stand when the world is going to turn right?
The US’ Operation Condor 2.0 has successfully reversed the leftist-socialist gains that most of South America experienced over the past decade, but China’s Trans-Oceanic Railroad (TORR) is poised to geostrategically transform the situation in the continent once more and give a boost to multipolarity.
The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC, hereafter also referred to simply as the Congo) could once again serve as a catalyst for a wider regional conflict and another “African World War”, while the Arab states of North Africa have a chance to move closer to the emerging Multipolar World Order in Afro-Eurasia.
Russia will continue to “clean house” in removing or functionally neutralizing unipolar-linked elements in the country whether through public or discrete actions, and this will empower the country to more assuredly practice its multi-vectored diplomacy of geopolitical balancing and thus strengthen its position as the core of the emerging Multipolar World Order.