Is the US seeking Transitional Governments in Nicaragua and Venezuela?

09.03.2021

The arrival of Joe Biden to the US Presidency could provoke the irruption in the geopolitical scene of Latin America of a new involutionary black wave that will consist of the implementation of "soft coups" with the unequivocal objective of replacing the insensitive regimes the dictates of Washington (Nicaragua and Venezuela) by pseudo democracies protected by the USA. To do this, the US through the "carrot and stick" tactic exposed by Sherman Kent in his book "Strategic Intelligence for North American World Policy" (1949). The purposes of these types of war were described by this author as follows: "in these unconventional wars it is about doing two things: weaken the enemy's will and resistance and strengthen one's own will and ability to win" and later he adds that the instruments of economic warfare “consist of the carrot and the stick”: “the blockade, the freezing of funds, the 'boycott', the embargo and the black list on the one hand; subsidies, loans, bilateral treaties, barter and commercial agreements for another ”.

Is a Multicolored Revolution brewing in Nicaragua?

Petrocaribe was created in 2005 at the initiative of Venezuela with the aim of supplying fuel to member countries under advantageous payment conditions, such as soft loans and low interest rates, and would be made up of 18 countries (including Honduras, Guatemala, Cuba, Nicaragua, República Dominican Republic, Haiti, Belize and a dozen Caribbean islands) and according to the Venezuelan authorities, the country exports 100,000 barrels a day to the countries of the bloc that generated a bill of 4,000 million dollars, of which a part was paid in "cash "and the rest would be subsidized. The new US strategy would be to strengthen commercial and military ties with the Petrocaribe countries in the face of the danger of mimetic contagion of Chavista revolutionary ideals by depending exclusively on the Venezuelan Petrocaribe for its energy supply, starting with the Dominican president Danilo Medina.

China would have taken on the challenge of building a new canal in Nicaragua (Grand Interoceanic Canal) similar to the canal of the Kra Isthmus that it has planned between Thailand and Burma to bypass the Strait of Malacca, which has become “de facto” a saturated and affected seaway. due to pirate attacks and inaugurated in 2010 the gas pipeline that links China with Turkmenistan and that surrounds Russia to avoid its total Russian energy dependence while diversifying its purchases, so the US will proceed to destabilize the government of Daniel Ortega within its strategy global geopolitics of drying up Chinese energy sources.

On the other hand, the installation of a Russian satellite station in Managua (Nejapa lagoon) to “control drug trafficking and study natural phenomena” would have caused the nervousness of the Pentagon that accuses Russia of “using Nicaragua to create a sphere of espionage military ”through the Global Navigation Satellite System (Glonass), the equivalent of the US GPS. Thus, we have witnessed the approval by the US Congress and Senate of the bill known as the Nica Act (Nicaraguan Investment Conditionality Act of 2017), which, following the Kentian strategy, seeks to freeze international loans from US satellite institutions (World Bank and Inter-American Development Bank), to Nicaragua with the avowed objective of causing its financial starvation and subsequent economic asphyxia. Finally, it would not be ruled out that the economic chaos leads to a “patriotic or multicolored revolution” that, under the remote control of the CIA, forces the ruling elites to hold new general elections with the avowed objective of ending the Danielist legacy and getting Nicaragua back to the path of democracies protected by the US.

Is the US seeking a Transitional Government in Venezuela?

Maduro's decision to confiscate the General Motors plant was seen by the Trump Administration as an attack against the interests of US multinationals, a scenario that will be exploited by the US Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, former President and CEO of Exxon Mobil when it was nationalized in 2007 by Hugo Chávez, to attempt a coup against Maduro. Exxon Mobil would be part of the Fourth Branch of the US Government, a true shadow Power that makes decisions in foreign policy and at the request of Tillerson, the Chavista revolution has already been declared a "dangerous enemy of the US." In addition, the Chinese-Venezuelan agreement by which the Chinese state petrochemical company Sinopec will invest 14,000 million dollars to achieve a daily oil production of 200,000 barrels per day of crude in the Orinoco Oil Belt, (considered the most abundant oil field world), it would be a missile on the waterline of US global geopolitics (whose unequivocal objective would be to dry up China's energy sources). Tillerson affirmed that “We are evaluating our political options, reviewing what we can do to create a change in conditions from which, Maduro decides that he has no future and decides to leave power on his own or that we can return to constitutional processes". To its Constitution "a whole declaration of intent that was reflected in the implementation of sanctions against Venezuela by the countries that surround it to turn it into" besieged territory and ready to be swallowed up."

After a systematic and intense destabilizing campaign based on the selective shortages of basic necessities, obscene speculation, the amplification in the media of growing citizen insecurity, the taking of the streets by the opposition and the application of sanctions to Venezuelan crude to cause the default or cessation of payments and after the Guaidó fiasco, we would be attending the final phase of the plot to achieve the departure of Maduro. The United States hopes that after the exile of the Chavista leadership to Cuba, Venezuela will proceed to the formation of a Transitional Government made up of consensus figures from both the opposition and Chavismo that will have to prepare a new Presidential Election for 2022, a task for which that the participation of Cuba seems essential. Cuba would be key to achieving exile to the Island of Maduro and the rest of the Chavista leadership in exchange for the US suspending the energy blockade of the Island because if the US naval blockade of Venezuelan crude persists, the Island would be seen Doomed to an energy asphyxia of unpredictable results after the collapse of tourism caused by the irruption on the Island of the coronavirus pandemic.