Qatar - a victim of the United States and its allies
The crisis around Qatar, caused by the unfulfillable demands of a number of Arab countries, which are just a cover for completely different claims, will continue until the latter are satisfied.
After the expected failure of Qatar's ultimatum, the Arab Quartet expressed regret in this regard and promised to increase pressure on the gas-rich and oil-rich emirate that a month ago suddenly became the embodiment of all the dirt of Middle Eastern politics.
In a statement by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the UAE, Bahrain, Egypt and Saudi Arabia, Qatar is accused of neglecting criticism and "a frivolous approach to the problem." In this regard, according to Arab media reports, it is planned to sharply tighten the sanctions already imposed on Qatar, in particular, to seize the property of the emirate that exists in these four states. In addition, the Arab Quartet will seek the cessation of cooperation with Doha of all companies from Arab countries that have not yet done so.
Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain and Egypt broke off diplomatic relations with Doha on June 5 and stopped transportation with Qatar, accusing him of supporting terrorism, interfering in their internal affairs, hostile to politics and encouraging extremist ideology.
Jordan and Djibouti also showed "solidarity" by lowering their diplomatic representation in Qatar. At the same time, Kuwait acted as an intermediary in resolving the conflict. Now, according to reports, the Arab "Quartet" wants Kuwait to stop playing this role and join the sanctions. Only one country in the region came out in defense of Qatar - Turkey.
The Arab countries on June 22 presented Qatar with an ultimatum of 13 points. Among them, the lowering of the level of diplomatic and military relations with Iran, the closure of the Turkish military base, the cessation of financing of terrorist organizations, the refusal to interfere in the internal affairs of the Arab countries, the support of opposition figures, and the closure of the world-famous Al Jazeera satellite television network.
Qatar, having studied the accusations and demands of Arab neighbors, found them unfair, impracticable and cynical.
Qatar authorities, in particular, ruled out the possibility of closing the Turkish military base, offered their critics to lower the level of diplomatic relations with Iran and close the channels of Al Arabiya and Al Hadath.
In the Doha response, it is recalled that Qatar is not the only Arab country that maintains relations with Tehran, so the requirement to close relations with Iran, the largest country in the region, is unfair. The refusal to close the Turkish base in Doha is motivated by the fact that the charter of the Council of Cooperation of the Arab States of the Persian Gulf, of which Qatar is a member, does not prohibit such cooperation with other countries.
What is really going on?
Looking at events from a broader perspective in the international context, everything becomes clear, especially if one, but very important missing link - the United States is added to this regional palette of mutual claims and counter-claims, and also realizes that the real reason for Qatar's displeasure is not at all Support of terrorism, but ... gas.
This country ranks third in the world in explored reserves of natural gas and the sixth - in export of liquefied gas. Periodically, there are rumors that the largest gas-producing countries - Russia, Iran and Qatar - are thinking about creating a "gas OPEC" ...
This is the real cause of the problems.
The fact is that a powerful player - the US - is now entering the Asian and European gas energy markets. The US has accumulated gas reserves that exceed their needs, and the Americans intend to widely export it. Well, the fact that this market is already occupied, not scary. The US has enough political, military and other means of manipulation to ensure its economic interests.
To begin with, Qatar should be removed from the gas market. For the first time this will be quite enough. Well, then you can go to the global plan. In Europe, for example, the victim of this policy is elected ... Russia, since the Americans, with the help of some European allies, expect to sharply limit the supply of Russian energy carriers to Europe and quickly transplant Europeans to their liquefied gas.
Qatar, now very much regrets that it did not allow Turkey to create in its time a full military base in the country. Even more, probably, the authorities regret that relations with Russia are not as good as those of Damascus. This omission Qatar authorities are trying to fix as soon as possible. On July 1, the Emir of Qatar, Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, himself phoned to Russian President Vladimir Putin.
According to the press service of the Russian head of state, the parties exchanged views on "topical issues of Russian-Qatar cooperation with emphasis on the implementation of a number of promising projects, including investment and energy" and, of course, "the crisis in relations between Qatar and A number of other states "was discussed. Putin stressed "the importance of political and diplomatic efforts aimed at overcoming existing disagreements and normalizing the difficult situation that has arisen."
Therefore, there will most likely not be a war. It would be a terrible scandal and a powerful blow to all the monarchies of the Persian Gulf. Toughening sanctions and blockade until Qatar is forced to make concessions is a more predictable scenario. For Qatar, it now remains to try to minimize losses and not lose sovereignty. And for this, we recall, it is often necessary to call to Moscow and cooperate more actively with Russia in all areas.