Will Merkel survive the new political storm?

02.09.2019

The regional elections in Germany did not bring sensations, although they were close to this. The agony of the ruling parties in the country, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Social Democrats (SPD) continues. The right-wing conservative Alternative for Germany (AfG), which almost won in Brandenburg, which would be a sensation, is on the rise. Success was accompanied by "green". Without entering the top three in either Brandenburg or Saxony, they became indispensable for the victorious CDU and SPD in the formation of land governments.

An immediate catastrophe for the CDU and the SPD, as well as the central government did not happen. However, another serious loss of these parties in favor of the AfG indicates that new times will soon come in German politics, and the political career of Chancellor Angela Merkel is nearing completion. Such is the quintessence of the regional elections held on Sunday in the FRG.

How it was?

According to preliminary official results, the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) in Brandenburg and the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) in Saxony became the winners of the Sunday elections to the land parliaments of Brandenburg and Saxony. Both parties in the lands, which were traditionally considered their patrimony, significantly worsened their results compared to 2014. The Social Democrats (26.2%) lost 5.7% of the vote in Brandenburg during this time, the Christian Democrats in Saxony (32.1) - 7.3%.

Young AfG significantly strengthened its position, almost surpassing the SPD in Brandenburg, where “right-wing populists” overtook the CDU (15.6%) and received 23.5% of the vote. In Saxony they have 27.5%. This happened despite stubborn and systematic attempts by the authorities to discredit the AfG, the large-scale and aggressive media campaign against this national-conservative party, and attempts to use spoilers. Therefore, voting for the representatives of this party for many average Germans required civil courage. As a result, in both lands AfG found itself in a solid second place. The victory of this party in the next land elections, if the authorities do not change course, and it cannot be split or banned, is guaranteed.

Better than usual in these "new" lands of Germany were the antipodes of AfG - "green" - which corresponds to the general German trend of polarization of voters. They did not get into the top three, having received 8.6% of the vote in Saxony and 10.8% in Brandenburg, but for the former GDR, where the majority are critical of these demagogues and liberals without borders, these are very good results. In practical terms, they are even better than AfG. Because even in case of victory in both elections, this asystemic party could not find partners for the creation of land governments. To be eligible, she needs to get over half of the vote. But without the "green" weakened SPD and the CDU are now unlikely to cost in these lands. In Brandenburg, the SPD and the Left Party, if they decide to renew the coalition, they will need a third partner.

In Saxony, a coalition of the CDU, SPD and the Greens is also possible. In both cases, forming new land governments will be very difficult. As a result, the fact that AfG and its supporters are so outraged will become more, which means that their prospect of winning the next election will be more real. The popularity of the Left Party in both lands was between 10 and 11%, which is very good for it. Free Democrats (FDP), liberals of the West German type, performed poorly, receiving no more than 4.5% of the vote. The fact that people are not indifferent to what is happening to him is shown by the high voter turnout in the elections: 61.3% in Brandenburg and about 64% in Saxony.

What do the results say?

Firstly, that if the ruling parties in Berlin - the CDU / CSU bloc and the SPD - managed to avoid humiliation losing the regional elections to the AfG, they were very close to this in Brandenburg and continue to lose popularity to a level absolutely disastrous for them. It is especially characteristic that in both cases they were talking about their estates.

Secondly, the national-conservative AfG, in spite of all attempts by the authorities to slow down its victorious march to power, is powerfully moving forward and will soon become a political force that can no longer be ignored.

Thirdly, the "greens", this political "weed" of modern Europe, "feeding" at the expense of globalists with the voices of inexperienced and stupid young voters, continue to strengthen their positions. Even where they have never had great success.

What does this mean?

This means that if German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who said on Saturday that after leaving politics, could return to science and there was no immediate reason to resign from the post of federal chancellor, she would have to do this before the next parliamentary elections. Because the main reason for the poor results of the CDU and the prosperity of the AfG is because of herself and her failed migration policy, which many Germans cannot forgive. Although it cannot be ruled out that Merkel, on the contrary, can take advantage of the Pyrrhic victory in Saxony to leave right now, while her dissatisfaction with her has not yet become wider, and the CDU has suffered new painful losses.

It cannot also be ruled out that the Social Democrats, until they have lost everything, will want to cease their participation in the “big coalition” and go into the opposition, which will accelerate Merkel’s withdrawal and create serious difficulties for the government.

It also means that the AfG must act in the same spirit, not succumb to provocations, and neutralize in time its "proponents" in their ranks, whose task is to compromise the party and prevent splits. And even if the ruling circles of Germany try to prevent this party from taking power anywhere, its ideas and proposals useful to Germany will be realized in one form or another by political rivals. So the efforts of AfG in any case will not be wasted.

And, finally, the continuous success of the “greens”, these grave diggers of Europe, as we know it, should make all those Europeans who do not want to be in Eurabia lose their identity and at the same time not lose the traditional morality and positive fruits of technological progress, more actively counteract this threat hanging over all.