Strength and weakness of the "Unbreakable" Merkel

16.05.2017

In the German press, German Chancellor Angela Merkel was called infinitely good - "Die Unkaputtbare". But not only German-speaking citizens can appreciate the beauty of this definition. Practically everyone can understand the meaning of the expression: "Hitler kaput". Formally - "Hitler's end".

The definition of "Unbreakable" was used in the discussion of Sunday's elections in German North Rhine-Westphalia. According to the results, the party Christian Democratic Union won. This is the third consecutive victory of the CDU in the land elections in Germany. The result of the others: Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) - 31.2%, liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP) - 12.6%, "Green" - 6.4%, "Left" - 4.9%, "Alternative For Germany "(AfG) - 7.4%, the Pirates Party - 1%. All the rest in the amount collected 3.5%.

Today, the whole of Germany is busy analyzing these figures. North Rhine-Westphalia is Germany's most populated land, therefore elections there are perceived as a dress rehearsal for federal elections, which will be due on September 24.

About 65.2% of voters came to the polls. This is 5.6% more than it was on the previous ones.

The CDU gained more votes primarily due to those who had not previously come to the polls - these voters gave 440,000 votes for it. In addition, 310,000 former voters of the Social Democrats voted for it. At the same time, this is not a sensational victory: the result was one of the worst in the history of the elections in Germany.

SPD, which was ruling in this land, lost 8%. The defeat became so sonorous and humiliating that the chairman of the local branch announced her resignation.

FDP took the third place, with a record comparison to all previous elections.

AfG also celebrates the success of passing to the local parliament. This is already the 13th land parliament, subdued by the young party, out of 16. At the same time, the party gained particular success among young voters aged 25 to 34.

"Green" party lost almost 5%, giving it's former voters to all competitors.

In the pre-election struggle, only the CDU and the SPD dominated. In general, both parties are essentially the same and do not differ. In Berlin, they rule in one large coalition. Moreover - the "Green" and FDP in the most important points represent the same views as Christian or Social Democrats.

 At the same time, there was a massive opposition to the pre-election struggle of real opposition parties, such as, for example, the Eurosceptic party "Alternative for Germany." Posters were broken, threats were thrown to those who were ready to provide a place for meetings and rallies, there were attacks on candidates. But neither the local nor the federal government did anything against it.

In addition, the CDU used a very interesting device during the election campaign. In the field of internal security, the situation here is the same as in other Germany - the increased level of crime, the lawlessness of refugees, the general increased threat of terrorism. But the leader of the CDU Lashet blamed ... not on the federal government, but on the ruling local red-green coalition.

Angela Merkel simply "swallowed" the content of the programs "Green", FDP and SPD. And wrapped them in favor of the CDU. She managed to "remodel" the CDU from the party simply into an "elective machine" that does not care about political content. In addition, Merkel's strength, no doubt, is in her authoritarian style inside the CDU and her personal politics, through which all serious domestic enemies are deprived of real power. Her strength lies in the fact that she weakened others in her party, made her "the party of Merkel". She is able to weaken each of her partners in the coalition, and all the parties represented in the Bundestag, whether governmental or opposition, can at least theoretically imagine that they will support Angela Merkel. She managed to eliminate the balance between the privatization and the opposition.

However, this is also her weakness. Everything is tied to her persona. She does not have an heir who would fill this vacuum, only bad copies like, for example, Ursula von der Leyen. But Merkel herself knows this too - and therefore she is the driven horse of her success. At the same moment, when she falls, her party will overtake a collapse.