Forecast

2017 Forecast: Global Trends

14.01.2017

As geostrategic paradigm shifts and non-traditional political rearrangements continue to unfold all throughout the world, the US will press forward with its campaign of waging Hybrid Wars on China’s One Belt One Road (New Silk Road) projects, while Trump’s Presidency is the ultimate unknown variable which could shape the international situation in completely unpredictable ways.

2017 Forecast: US

13.01.2017

The Clintonian Counter-Revolution against Trump will continue, albeit in different forms of varying and uncertain intensity, though one thing is for sure and it’s that there will be “deep state” tension between and within the US’ permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies.

2017 Forecast: Africa

11.01.2017

The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC, hereafter also referred to simply as the Congo) could once again serve as a catalyst for a wider regional conflict and another “African World War”, while the Arab states of North Africa have a chance to move closer to the emerging Multipolar World Order in Afro-Eurasia.

2017 Forecast: China

09.01.2017

China will have to confront the Three T’s of Trump, trade, and Taiwan, as well as the progressively unfolding and American-provoked New Cold War that it’s involved in with India, but Beijing could make positive geopolitical progress so long as its New Silk Road plans in Pakistan and ASEAN aren’t derailed by Hybrid War.

2017 Forecast: East Asia

07.01.2017

The Russian-Japanese detente will incrementally continue, but the future of Northeast Asia is contingent on what happens with the two Koreas, as this could either lead to the formation of a Regional Quartet or two separate blocs.

2017 Forecast: ASEAN

06.01.2017

The US’ original plans for the Pivot to Asia have largely been reversed in favor of China, though Washington still has a few tricks up its sleeve through Hybrid War and the “Lead From Behind” stratagem in making up for its recent setbacks.

2017 Forecast: South Asia

05.01.2017

India and the US strategically converge in the grandest way possible when it comes to countering China, hence why both sides entered into an unprecedented military-strategic partnership over the summer through the signing of LEMOA, which crucially allows either country to use all of the other’s military installations on a case-by-case basis. 

2017 Forecast: The Mideast

03.01.2017

The Mideast is undergoing a fundamental geopolitical reorganization as Russia spearheads a Tripartite Concert of Great Powers between itself, Iran, and Turkey aimed at ending the War on Syria, though this game-changing partnership could be offset by conflicting objectives between the two Mideast powers in Iraq, which the US will try to exploit to all feasible ends. 

2017 Forecast: EU

02.01.2017

2016 is over, and it’s thus time to review the most significant events that occurred in each region and prognosticate how they may influence the coming year.